财经快讯

美联储升息预期打压黄金 但中印需求会改善

日期:2015-08-11
瑞银(UBS)在周一(8月10日)下调了一个月金价预期,降幅13%,至1050美元/盎司水平,
 
瑞银分析师称:“我们新的价格预期表明了我们认为,在宏观基本面的背景下,金价会进一步下行。”美联储可能的9月升息是下调金价预期的主因。
 
“我们认为在9月美联储FOMC会议前,黄金市场将持续疲软,不过卖盘压力将是有限的,任何进一步的疲软都会使得市场开始看到低金价下黄金的价值。”
 
此外中国和印度需求的疲软是目前市场的一大不利因素。不过Teves认为,这种状况很快就会改变。
 
“尽管实物市场目前的回应是比较让人失望的,但我们预计市场会有所改善,需求会恢复,尤其是当旺季到来时。”空头回补最终会把金价推动至1100美元/盎司上方。
 
瑞银将一个月的银价预期下调10%至14美元/盎司,产品金价格预期下调12%至950美元/盎司,钯金价格预期下调10%至600美元/盎司。
 
对于三个月的金价预期,瑞银预期下调4%至1125美元/盎司,银价预期下调2%至15.5美元/盎司,产品金价格下调7%至1050美元/盎司,钯金价格预期下调7%至680美元/盎司。
 
黄金之外的其它贵金属,其本身的推动因素是有限的,而趋势会继续,大部分相关的价格预期都合黄金价格以及整个大宗商品价格的走势有关。
 
远东贵金属首发最精准的黄金行情分析,<黄金交易投资开户>www.fe062.com,转载请注明出处。

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