财经快讯

白银产量将在数年内持续下降 银价有望攀升

日期:2015-08-03
宏观分析师周五(7月31日)表示,白银市场供过于求的现状继续成为价格的一个下行压力因素。
 
并指出,“我们此前已经讨论过白银矿业产量最近达到顶峰。我们预计银矿产量将会在今后数年内持续下降。而近期贵金属价格暴跌以及工业矿产价格下跌将会加速银矿减产的这一过程。”凯投宏观目前预计白银产量将会在今年下降1%,这将会推高白银价格至18.70美元/盎司。这表示白银价格将会从目前水平上涨约26%。
 
世界白银产量大部分来自其他金属矿场的副产品,所以白银产量将会极大程度上与产品、金、锌、铅等金属的产量息息相关。而目前大宗交易品价格全线下跌,白银产量势必出现大幅下滑。
 
并表示,“白银作为其他矿物的副产品,产量将会最先下降,这将会使白银整体供给进一步萎缩。” 数据显示目前世界前15大主要白银产量来源在2015年上半年已经下滑了3%。同时,墨西哥以及秘鲁的白银产量也正在急剧下降,这两个国家产量占世界总产量36%。矿业整体的开支削减和活动减少将会最终导致白银产量大幅下滑,并推动白银价格不断走高。
 
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