财经快讯

就业强劲但通胀较低 黄金冲高之后回落

日期:2015-07-30
此前华尔街期望能从本次货产品政策声明中获得加息时机的蛛丝马迹,然而美联储北京时间周四(7月30日)凌晨的声明并没有透露加息的相关线索。
 
正如市场预期,美联储宣布维持近零利率不变。美联储指出,将在就业市场进一步改善,且“有理由相信”通胀率将朝着通胀目标回升时开始加息。市场先前预期FOMC或能至少提供其已经准备好加息的一些线索,然而,声明中并未给出足够的证据。
 
FOMC声明称,经济活动温和扩张,就业增长强劲且失业率下滑 ,但通胀指标“依然较低”。委员会指出,“企业固定投资和净出口保持疲软”。然而,联邦公开市场委员会指出就业市场“强劲”,市场将此解读为偏鹰派,这或预示9月加息仍有可能。
 
美联储决议公布后,美元指数先是下探96.53之后转而上涨0.2%,欧元/美元上探1.1075后开始转跌回落,英镑/美元上探1.5649,美元/日元下探123.65之后转而上涨,澳元/美元最高上冲0.7343后回落,美元/加元最低下探1.2866后企稳反弹;现货黄金自1095美元/盎司附近短线冲破1100美元/盎司最高触及1101.33美元/盎司之后震荡走低;产品期货缩减涨幅;美国10年期国债收益率反弹,并刷新日高;美国股市缩减涨幅,标普500指数上涨0.3%。
FOMC声明发布之后,美联储通讯社称,此次美联储FOMC会议决定将利率维持在零水平附近,却又提及劳动力市场方面取得的进展,暗示其将在9月或今年稍晚些时候加息。就业市场的改善令官员们倾向于加息,但是在达成通胀目标方面的连续失败让其迟疑。美联储对低通胀的担忧有可能令官员们更趋谨慎并推迟首次加息时间。
美联储形容劳动力市场的措辞较6月声明有所升级。此次声明并未给出加息时间的暗示,令美联储即可拥有9月加息这一选项,同时有不必固定在这一时间上。美联储官员们将在9月16至17日政策会议上面临更为艰难的抉择。此次会议为美联储连续第五次一致通过维持利率区间不变的决定。
 
 
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