财经快讯

即使有1万吨黄金仍难为货产品背书 中国囤金到底为什么?

日期:2015-05-21
     对全球黄金市场来说,中国的黄金需求和持有一直是一个迷。《货产品战争》作者称,中国和其它新兴市场国家在寻求离开全球法定货产品系统的方法。
  他说:“中国会用黄金为自己的货产品背书,并且运用亚投行和金砖银行以及其它机构来引导新的全球金融秩序。”
  尽管人民产品在国际交易中的使用有所增加,但占比仍然不到2%,而美元占比40%。
  市场对中国实际的黄金持有量有诸多猜测,但大部分都认为,目前中国央行1054吨的持有量并非实际持有量,甚至是远低于实际持有量。
  不过有分析师指出,即使中国有1万吨黄金,也难以用黄金为货产品背书。1万吨黄金的价值大约3850亿美元,而今年4月中国的货产品供应量达到了5.4万亿美元,差距巨大。
  从历史上来看,那些能够成功实行金本位制度的国家的货产品供应量通常有20%至40%的黄金背书。中国要达到20%的水平是可以实现的,但这意味着非常通缩的状态,不利中国经济。
  因此,有猜测认为,中国所要做的是效仿美国,仍然实行金融纸产品标准,但用黄金来使得货产品变得更重要。
有猜测认为,中国希望在IMF中有更重要的地位,而黄金则是其中的关键,可以说是一张进入“大牌俱乐部”的门票。
 
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